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Hurricane EDOUARD Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTNT21 KNHC 181433
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1500 UTC THU SEP 18 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  42.7W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  85 DEGREES AT  22 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  80SE  70SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 120SE  90SW  50NW.
34 KT.......110NE 200SE 180SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 300SE 340SW 430NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  42.7W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.9N  43.9W

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 40.1N  39.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE  70SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 160SE 140SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 39.9N  37.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  90SE  90SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 40.0N  36.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 40.0N  34.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  40SE  40SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 37.5N  30.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 33.0N  30.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.9N  42.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




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Page last modified: Thursday, 18-Sep-2014 14:34:00 UTC