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Tropical Storm FRED Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTNT21 KNHC 010237
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0300 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS CHANGED
THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR SAO VICENTE,
SAO NICOLAU...SANTO ANTAO...AND SANTA LUZIA...AND DISCONTINUED ALL
WARNINGS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAO VICENTE...SAO NICOLAU...SANTO ANTAO...AND SANTA LUZIA IN THE
  CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  25.2W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  25.2W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  25.0W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 18.6N  26.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.6N  28.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 20.5N  29.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 21.1N  31.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 22.2N  34.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 23.5N  38.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 25.0N  41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N  25.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



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Page last modified: Tuesday, 01-Sep-2015 02:38:04 UTC