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Hurricane EDOUARD Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTNT21 KNHC 161445
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1500 UTC TUE SEP 16 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N  57.8W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 130SE 130SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 250SE 220SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N  57.8W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.6N  57.7W

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 33.0N  57.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 140SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 35.7N  54.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 160SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 38.4N  50.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 180SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 40.3N  45.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  80SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 160SE 180SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 41.0N  38.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 140SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 40.0N  35.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 38.0N  32.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N  57.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




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Page last modified: Tuesday, 16-Sep-2014 14:45:59 UTC