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Tropical Storm FRED Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTNT21 KNHC 030234
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0300 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N  32.7W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N  32.7W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4N  32.3W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 21.2N  33.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.8N  35.4W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.2N  37.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.6N  38.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 23.5N  41.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 26.0N  42.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 28.5N  41.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N  32.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN



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Page last modified: Thursday, 03-Sep-2015 02:35:02 UTC