| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

Hurricane ODILE Wind Speed Probabilities (Text)


Home   Public Adv   Fcst Adv   Discussion   Wind Probs   Graphics   Archive  


000
FOPZ15 KNHC 152042
PWSEP5

HURRICANE ODILE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  23                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014               
2100 UTC MON SEP 15 2014                                            

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H.                                         

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

YUMA AZ        34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

P ABREOJOS     34 57   8(65)   1(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
P ABREOJOS     50  5   6(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

LA PAZ         34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

LORETO         34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
LORETO         50 77   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)

P PENASCO      34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   3( 7)   4(11)   1(12)   X(12)

HERMOSILLO     34  6   2( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   1(10)   1(11)   X(11)

BAHIA KINO     34 12   7(19)   2(21)   1(22)   2(24)   1(25)   X(25)

GUAYMAS        34 18   2(20)   X(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)

HUATABAMPO     34  7   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

LOS MOCHIS     34  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

CULIACAN       34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    


Standard version of this page

Alternate Formats
About Alternates - E-Mail Advisories - RSS Feeds

Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory - Past Advisories - About Advisories

Marine Forecasts
Latest Products - About Marine Products

Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery - US Weather Radar - Aircraft Recon - Local Data Archive - Forecast Verification - Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense

Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names Wind Scale - Prepare - Climatology - NHC Glossary - NHC Acronyms - Frequently Asked Questions - AOML Hurricane-Research Division

About Us
About NHC - Mission/Vision - Other NCEP Centers - NHC Staff - Visitor Information - NHC Library

Contact Us


NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 15-Sep-2014 20:43:13 UTC