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Hurricane ODILE Wind Speed Probabilities (Text)


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000
FOPZ15 KNHC 150259
PWSEP5

HURRICANE ODILE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152014               
0300 UTC MON SEP 15 2014                                            

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE    
22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H.                                       

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

SAN DIEGO CA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

YUMA AZ        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)

ENSENADA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)

P ABREOJOS     34  3  28(31)  49(80)   8(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
P ABREOJOS     50  X   3( 3)  39(42)  13(55)   1(56)   X(56)   X(56)
P ABREOJOS     64  X   X( X)  18(18)  12(30)   1(31)   X(31)   X(31)

CABO SAN LUCAS 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

SAN JOSE CABO  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SAN JOSE CABO  50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SAN JOSE CABO  64 98   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)

LA PAZ         34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
LA PAZ         50 95   1(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
LA PAZ         64 65   5(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)

LORETO         34 30  61(91)   5(96)   1(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
LORETO         50  1  35(36)  13(49)   1(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)
LORETO         64  X   8( 8)   9(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

P PENASCO      34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   6(14)   3(17)   1(18)

HERMOSILLO     34  1   4( 5)  11(16)   9(25)   3(28)   1(29)   X(29)
HERMOSILLO     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

BAHIA KINO     34  1   6( 7)  25(32)  16(48)   2(50)   1(51)   X(51)
BAHIA KINO     50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)   X(12)   1(13)   X(13)
BAHIA KINO     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

GUAYMAS        34  3  17(20)  21(41)   5(46)   2(48)   X(48)   X(48)
GUAYMAS        50  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
GUAYMAS        64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

HUATABAMPO     34  8  23(31)   5(36)   2(38)   1(39)   1(40)   X(40)

LOS MOCHIS     34 38   9(47)   1(48)   1(49)   1(50)   X(50)   X(50)

CULIACAN       34 83   1(84)   X(84)   1(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
CULIACAN       50  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MAZATLAN       34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    


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Page last modified: Monday, 15-Sep-2014 03:00:08 UTC