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Tropical Depression NINETEEN Wind Speed Probabilities (Text)


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000
FOPZ14 KNHC 262031
PWSEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP192016
2100 UTC MON SEP 26 2016

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 140.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

15N 135W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

10N 140W       34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

15N 140W       34  X   5( 5)  19(24)  13(37)   5(42)   1(43)   X(43)
15N 140W       50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)
15N 140W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

20N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

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Page last modified: Monday, 26-Sep-2016 20:31:29 UTC