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TROPICAL STORM RINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182023
2100 UTC THU SEP 28 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  46.2W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  46.2W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  46.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.8N  46.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 19.4N  47.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.7N  48.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.1N  50.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 20.6N  51.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  20SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 21.5N  53.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 24.2N  56.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 26.8N  58.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N  46.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER HOGSETT/CANGIALOSI
 
 
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