| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

Hurricane HECTOR (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102018
0900 UTC SAT AUG 04 2018

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 131.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

15N 135W       34  2  94(96)   1(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
15N 135W       50  X  65(65)   4(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)
15N 135W       64  X  32(32)   6(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)

15N 140W       34  X   1( 1)  12(13)  79(92)   3(95)   X(95)   X(95)
15N 140W       50  X   X( X)   2( 2)  64(66)  10(76)   X(76)   X(76)
15N 140W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)  40(40)  13(53)   X(53)   X(53)

20N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  70(71)   3(74)   X(74)
15N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  39(39)   3(42)   X(42)
15N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  21(21)   2(23)   X(23)

20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)   X(10)

15N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  50(53)   3(56)
15N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  22(22)   1(23)
15N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   1(12)

20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)   1(17)
20N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
20N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)

20N 151W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)   2(18)
20N 151W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
20N 151W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  43(43)  21(64)
BUOY 51004     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)  16(32)
BUOY 51004     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  10(16)

20N 154W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  14(21)
20N 154W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
20N 154W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

15N 155W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  32(39)
15N 155W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  17(18)
15N 155W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)

HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)
HILO           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
HILO           64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

BRADSHAW AAF   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)
BRADSHAW AAF   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
BRADSHAW AAF   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

18N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  47(52)
18N 156W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  23(23)
18N 156W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)

SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  34(38)
SOUTH POINT    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)
SOUTH POINT    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

21N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)
21N 156W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  24(26)
KAILUA-KONA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)
KAILUA-KONA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)

21N 158W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)
21N 158W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

BARKING SANDS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

HANA           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)
HANA           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)
LANAI CITY     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)

BUOY 51002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  43(44)
BUOY 51002     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)
BUOY 51002     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)

HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

JOINT BASE PHH 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

15N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)

20N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)

NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

21N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)

BUOY 51003     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
NNNN

Standard version of this page

Alternate Formats
About Alternates - E-Mail Advisories - RSS Feeds

Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory - Past Advisories - About Advisories

Marine Forecasts
Latest Products - About Marine Products

Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery - US Weather Radar - Aircraft Recon - Local Data Archive - Forecast Verification - Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense

Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names Wind Scale - Prepare - Climatology - NHC Glossary - NHC Acronyms - Frequently Asked Questions - AOML Hurricane-Research Division

About Us
About NHC - Mission/Vision - Other NCEP Centers - NHC Staff - Visitor Information - NHC Library

Contact Us


NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 31-Dec-2018 12:10:38 UTC