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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Carlotta Advisory Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP042018
400 AM CDT Sat Jun 16 2018

...TINY CARLOTTA A LITTLE STRONGER AND IS NOT MOVING...
...THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.8N 99.5W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SSE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM WSW OF PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Acapulco to Lagunas de Chacahua

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Carlotta was
estimated near latitude 15.8 North, longitude 99.5 West. Carlotta is
stationary, and little motion is expected during the next 12 hours
or so. A slow northward drift is expected to begin later today.  On
the forecast track, Carlotta is expected to move inland by late
Saturday or Sunday within the warning area.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h)
with higher gusts. No important changes in intensity are expected
before landfall. The small cyclone is forecast to quickly dissipate
over the high terrain of Mexico by Sunday after moving inland.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Carlotta is forecast to produce 3 to 6 inches of rainfall
along the Guerrero and southwestern Oaxaca coasts, including the
city of Acapulco, with isolated higher amounts of 10 inches
possible.  These rains are likely to produce life-threatening flash
floods and mudslides, especially in areas of higher terrain.
Elsewhere across the states of Guerrero and Oaxaca, rainfall amounts
of 1 to 2 inches with isolated amounts of 4 inches are forecast.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin within the
warning area later today and continue through tomorrow.

SURF:  Swells generated by Carlotta are affecting portions of
the coast of southern Mexico.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Avila

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