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Hurricane FERNANDA (Text)


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HURRICANE FERNANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062017
0300 UTC FRI JUL 14 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 117.0W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 117.0W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 116.5W

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 10.9N 118.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 10.8N 120.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 11.1N 122.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 11.7N 124.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 13.0N 129.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 14.4N 133.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 15.8N 137.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.0N 117.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


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Page last modified: Sunday, 22-Oct-2017 12:09:56 UTC