ZCZC MIATCPEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Tropical Storm Dora Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP042017 1000 PM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017 ...DORA QUICKLY STRENGTHENING... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE SOON... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.4N 104.3W ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO ABOUT 290 MI...470 KM SSE OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dora was located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 104.3 West. Dora is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h) and this general motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected over the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the center of Dora is expected to move parallel to but remain offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours and Dora is expected to become a hurricane by early Monday. Weakening is forecast to begin Monday night or Tuesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 996 mb (29.42 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Dora is expected to produce rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches along coastal sections of the Mexican states of Guerrero and Michoacan through Monday. SURF: Swells generated by Dora are affecting portions of the coast of southwest Mexico. These swells are expected to spread northwestward and begin affecting portions of the coast of the southern Baja California peninsula on Tuesday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT. $$ Forecaster Brown NNNN
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