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Hurricane DORA (Text)


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HURRICANE DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042017
0900 UTC TUE JUN 27 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 109.2W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 109.2W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 108.7W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 19.3N 110.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.9N 112.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.4N 114.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.8N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 21.0N 119.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 109.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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Page last modified: Tuesday, 12-Dec-2017 12:09:52 UTC