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Hurricane DORA (Text)


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HURRICANE DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042017
2100 UTC MON JUN 26 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 107.3W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 107.3W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 106.8W

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 18.4N 108.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 19.0N 110.4W...NEAR SOCORRO ISLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.5N 112.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.8N 113.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 20.3N 116.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 20.5N 119.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 107.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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Page last modified: Wednesday, 18-Oct-2017 12:09:50 UTC