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Tropical Storm DORA (Text)


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TROPICAL STORM DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042017
0900 UTC SUN JUN 25 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 100.9W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 100.9W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 100.4W

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 15.5N 102.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 16.4N 104.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 17.5N 106.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 18.4N 107.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 19.5N 111.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 20.3N 114.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 20.0N 117.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 100.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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Page last modified: Thursday, 19-Oct-2017 12:09:55 UTC