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Tropical Depression THIRTEEN (Text)


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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132017
0300 UTC WED SEP 06 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N  96.4W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 100 DEGREES AT   2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N  96.4W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N  96.6W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 22.1N  96.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 21.8N  95.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 21.5N  95.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 21.2N  95.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.8N  95.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  50SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 19.4N  98.1W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N  96.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE


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Page last modified: Saturday, 16-Dec-2017 12:09:32 UTC