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Hurricane JOSE (Text)


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HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  58
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
2100 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM HULL
SOUTHWARD TO SAGAMORE BEACH AND ALSO WEST OF WOODS HOLE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACH...INCLUDING CAPE COD
* BLOCK ISLAND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD
* NANTUCKET

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET TO PORT JEFFERSON

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM VIRGINIA
NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JOSE.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N  71.3W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
50 KT.......120NE  70SE  90SW 130NW.
34 KT.......270NE 180SE 190SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 330SE 270SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N  71.3W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.9N  71.5W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 38.2N  70.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
50 KT...120NE  70SE  90SW 130NW.
34 KT...230NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 39.2N  69.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...110NE  70SE  90SW 110NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 180SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 39.7N  68.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  70SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 180SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 39.5N  67.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 160SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 39.0N  67.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 38.6N  68.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 38.3N  69.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.2N  71.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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