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Hurricane JOSE (Text)


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HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
ISSUED BY THE NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
2100 UTC SUN SEP 10 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N  66.9W AT 10/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 317 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  956 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT.......140NE 140SE  50SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N  66.9W AT 10/2100Z
AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N  66.4W

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 24.4N  68.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE  50SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 26.0N  69.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 26.8N  69.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 26.7N  68.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 25.4N  67.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 110SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 24.2N  68.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 25.1N  71.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N  66.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD

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Page last modified: Saturday, 21-Oct-2017 12:09:27 UTC