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Potential Tropical Cyclone TEN (Text)


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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102017
2100 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA HAVE
BEEN DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HIGH WIND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL PORTIONS OF
NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...AND THE
EASTERN SHORE OF VIRGINIA AND MARYLAND THROUGH THIS EVENING.

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N  74.3W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  21 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 180SE 180SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N  74.3W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.4N  75.4W

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 37.6N  70.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 120SW 210NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 39.3N  65.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...120NE  90SE 120SW 130NW.
34 KT...230NE 260SE 300SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 40.9N  60.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 90NE   0SE 120SW 150NW.
50 KT...120NE 110SE 160SW 180NW.
34 KT...250NE 340SE 320SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 42.8N  54.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE 140SW 160NW.
34 KT...250NE 360SE 320SW 240NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 47.4N  41.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 360SE 310SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 52.0N  25.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.0N  74.3W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER BERG


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Page last modified: Monday, 23-Oct-2017 12:09:20 UTC