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Potential Tropical Cyclone TEN (Text)


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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102017
0300 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK
* ALBEMARLE SOUND
* PAMLICO SOUND

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SURF CITY TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.5N  80.0W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.5N  80.0W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.3N  80.0W

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 34.5N  77.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  90SE  30SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 36.9N  73.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 100SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 39.0N  69.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 150SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 40.5N  64.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...210NE 300SE 240SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 43.8N  53.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  90SE  90SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 270SE 360SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 48.5N  39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 53.0N  23.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.5N  80.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


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Page last modified: Wednesday, 18-Oct-2017 12:09:18 UTC