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Tropical Storm FRANKLIN (Text)


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Tropical Storm Franklin Advisory Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL072017
400 PM CDT Mon Aug 07 2017

...FRANKLIN EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN SOME MORE BEFORE LANDFALL...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.6N 85.9W
ABOUT 170 MI...270 KM ENE OF BELIZE CITY
ABOUT 155 MI...255 KM E OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* The coast of Mexico from Chetumal to Punta Allen

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Belize City northward to the border of Mexico
* The coast of Mexico from Chetumal to Campeche

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* The coast of Mexico from Campeche to Sabancuy

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within
24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.

Interests elsewhere around the Bay of Campeche should monitor the
progress of this system.  A Hurricane Watch may be required for a
portion of the southwestern Gulf coast of Mexico this evening.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Franklin was
located near latitude 18.6 North, longitude 85.9 West. Franklin is
moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and a
west-northwestward to westward motion is expected over the next 48
hours.  On the forecast track, the center will be near the east
coast of the Yucatan Peninsula this evening or tonight.  Franklin
is then expected to move across the Yucatan Peninsula on Tuesday,
and into the Bay of Campeche Tuesday evening or Tuesday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is expected before the center reaches the
Yucatan Peninsula, and Franklin could be near hurricane intensity at
landfall on the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Rainfall amounts of 3 to 6 inches, with isolated amounts
of around 12 inches, are possible across the Yucatan Peninsula of
Mexico and Belize through Wednesday, with the highest amounts over
the Mexican state of Quintana Roo.  These rains could produce
life-threatening flash floods.

WIND:  Hurricane conditions are possible in the Hurricane Watch
area by this evening.  Tropical storm conditions are expected to
begin in portions of the warning area this afternoon or evening.
Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in Mexico
on Tuesday.

STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by
as much as 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels along the immediate
coast near and to the north of where the center makes landfall.
Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

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Page last modified: Thursday, 19-Oct-2017 12:09:10 UTC