| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

Tropical Depression EMILY (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4       
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062017               
2100 UTC MON JUL 31 2017                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
 
CHERRY PT NC   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
NEW RIVER NC   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
SURF CITY NC   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
BALD HEAD ISL  34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
LITTLE RIVER   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GEORGETOWN SC  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  6   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34 16   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
PATRICK AFB    34 16   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34 14   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
VENICE FL      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
NNNN                                                                

Standard version of this page

Alternate Formats
About Alternates - E-Mail Advisories - RSS Feeds

Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory - Past Advisories - About Advisories

Marine Forecasts
Latest Products - About Marine Products

Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery - US Weather Radar - Aircraft Recon - Local Data Archive - Forecast Verification - Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense

Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names Wind Scale - Prepare - Climatology - NHC Glossary - NHC Acronyms - Frequently Asked Questions - AOML Hurricane-Research Division

About Us
About NHC - Mission/Vision - Other NCEP Centers - NHC Staff - Visitor Information - NHC Library

Contact Us


NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Sunday, 22-Oct-2017 12:09:08 UTC