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Potential Tropical Cyclone THREE (Text)


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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032017
0900 UTC TUE JUN 20 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM CAMERON LOUISIANA
TO INTRACOASTAL CITY.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAMERON TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF CAMERON TO HIGH ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE U.S. GULF COAST FROM THE CENTRAL TEXAS
COAST TO THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM.

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  90.1W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N  90.1W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.5N  89.9W

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 25.7N  91.0W...SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 26.6N  92.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 140SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 27.5N  93.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...170NE 100SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 28.9N  93.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...160NE 100SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 32.5N  93.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 36.5N  88.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.8N  90.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Dec-2017 12:09:05 UTC