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Potential Tropical Cyclone THREE (Text)


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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THREE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032017
0300 UTC TUE JUN 20 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* INTRACOASTAL CITY TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY TO HIGH ISLAND

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE U.S. GULF COAST FROM THE CENTRAL TEXAS
COAST TO THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM.

POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N  89.5W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N  89.5W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.0N  89.2W

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 25.4N  90.3W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 26.4N  91.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...180NE 100SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 27.1N  92.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...170NE 100SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 28.3N  92.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...160NE 100SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 31.8N  93.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 35.2N  90.1W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z...DISSIPATED INLAND

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N  89.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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Page last modified: Thursday, 19-Oct-2017 12:09:05 UTC