ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY DISCUSSION NUMBER 20 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122016 800 AM PDT TUE AUG 23 2016 Kay has become a convectionless swirl of low clouds over sea surface temperatures of less than 25C. Unless the convection makes an unexpected return, the cyclone should degenerate to a remnant low pressure area later today. All of the global models now show the remnant low dissipating in less than two days, so the official forecast follows this scenario. Kay turned more to the right after the scatterometer overpass mentioned in the previous advisory, and the initial motion is now 295/7. A turn back toward the west is likely before the system dissipates completely. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 23/1500Z 22.7N 120.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 24/0000Z 23.1N 121.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 24/1200Z 23.3N 123.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 25/0000Z 23.3N 124.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 25/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven NNNN
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