ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION FRANK DISCUSSION NUMBER 28 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072016 800 AM PDT THU JUL 28 2016 Frank has only been devoid of organized deep convection since about 0400 UTC, so the system is still being maintained as a tropical cyclone for this advisory. However, if this downward convective trend continues, which appears likely since Frank is now moving over sub-23 deg C sea-surface temperatures, then the cyclone will become a remnant low pressure system this afternoon in the next advisory package. Continued spin down should result in dissipation of the low-level circulation by 72 hours. Microwave satellite fixes indicate that Frank is now moving at 290/07 kt. The weakening cyclone is forecast to become more vertically shallow over the next 48 hours, which should result in a turn toward the west and then west-southwest, accompanied by gradual deceleration due to weak easterly tradewind flow. The official forecast is similar to the previous track and lies close to the TVCN consensus model. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/1500Z 23.7N 124.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 29/0000Z 24.0N 125.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 29/1200Z 24.1N 126.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 30/0000Z 24.0N 127.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 30/1200Z 23.7N 127.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 31/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Stewart NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Saturday, 31-Dec-2016 12:10:22 UTC