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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KARL ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122016
1100 PM AST WED SEP 21 2016

...NOAA JET DATA INDICATES THAT KARL IS POORLY ORGANIZED...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.9N 59.6W
ABOUT 725 MI...1165 KM SSE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of Karl.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Karl
was located near latitude 22.9 North, longitude 59.6 West. The
depression is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h) and
this motion is expected to continue through Thursday.  A turn
toward the north is expected Thursday night or Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Data from the NOAA G-IV jet indicates that the circulation of Karl
is currently poorly organized.  However, conditions appear conducive
for slow strengthening during the next couple of days, and Karl
could regain tropical storm intensity on Thursday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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