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TROPICAL STORM KARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  39
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122016
0300 UTC SAT SEP 24 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N  65.1W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  20 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N  65.1W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.3N  65.3W

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 32.5N  63.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 35.5N  57.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 39.5N  49.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 180SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 45.0N  40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 120SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 270SE 240SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z...ABSORBED BY LARGER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.8N  65.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


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