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TROPICAL STORM HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016
2100 UTC WED AUG 31 2016
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAVE BEEN EXTENDED
WESTWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO DESTIN.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO DESTIN
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO DESTIN
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MARINELAND FLORIDA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST FROM GEORGIA THROUGH
THE CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N  87.4W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.5N  87.4W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  87.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 26.5N  87.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 120SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 28.1N  86.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 30.0N  85.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 32.0N  82.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE 140SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 36.5N  77.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE 140SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 39.0N  74.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 39.5N  72.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.5N  87.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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