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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EARL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  15A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052016
100 AM CDT SAT AUG 06 2016

...EARL MOVING INLAND OVER SOUTHEASTERN MAINLAND MEXICO...
...TORRENTIAL RAINS COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.0N 96.5W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SW OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...80 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Roca Partido northward to Tecolutla, Mexico.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Earl was
located near latitude 19.0 North, longitude 96.5 West. Earl is
moving toward the west near 9 mph (14 km/h), and this general motion
is expected to continue for the next day or so. On the forecast
track, Earl will continue to move inland throughout the day on
Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (80 km/h) with
higher gusts. Continued weakening is expected as the center of Earl
moves farther inland.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km),
mainly to the northeast of the center.  An automated station at
Sacrifice Island, Mexico recently reported a gust of 40 mph
(64 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will continue across the warning
area tonight and early Saturday morning.

RAINFALL:  Earl is expected to produce storm total rainfall of
8 to 12 inches with isolated maximum amounts 18 inches over portions
of the Mexican states of Veracruz, Hidalgo, Oaxaca, Guerrero,
Puebla, Tabasco, and Campeche through Saturday night. These rains
could result in life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven

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