ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-ONE-E SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP212015 1000 AM MDT WED NOV 18 2015 ...LATE-SEASON TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE COAST OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM MDT...1600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.0N 107.2W ABOUT 455 MI...735 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1000 AM MDT (1600 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Twenty-One-E was located near latitude 13.0 North, longitude 107.2 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 2 mph (4 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the north-northwest and then northwest is expected Thursday and Friday with an increase in forward speed. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm tonight or Thursday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT. $$ Forecaster Kimberlain NNNN
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