ZCZC MIATCDEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082015 200 AM PDT WED JUL 29 2015 Microwave data show that the depression continues to be sheared with the low-level center located to the northwest of a patch of deep convection. Dvorak estimates from both TAFB and SAB support keeping the depression at 30 kt at this time. Although the shear is forecast to decrease, the depression is moving toward a dry and stable environment. Consequently, the NHC forecast calls for dissipation in about 48 hours. This is consistent with the trend of the global models and the intensity consensus. In fact, global models depict the cyclone as a westward moving trough by 48 hours. The depression is moving toward the west or 270 degrees at 10 kt. Because the depression is forecast to weaken and become a shallow cyclone, it is expected to be steered westward by the prevailing low-level flow until dissipation. There are no important changes to the previous forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 29/0900Z 16.9N 132.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 29/1800Z 16.9N 134.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 30/0600Z 16.9N 136.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 30/1800Z 16.7N 140.0W 25 KT 30 MPH 48H 31/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Avila NNNN
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