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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CARLOS ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032015
1000 AM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

...TROPICAL STORM CARLOS FORMS SOUTH OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.6N 100.4W
ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM SSE OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the southern coast of Mexico should monitor the
progress of this system.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Carlos was
located near latitude 13.6 North, longitude 100.4 West.  Carlos is
moving toward the northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h).  Carlos is expected
to slow its forward speed and meander toward the north during the
next two days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Locally heavy rains could spread over portions of the
southern coast of Mexico, primarily in the states of Oaxaca and
Guerrero, during the next couple of days.

SURF:  Swells associated with Carlos are expected to increase near
the coast of southern Mexico during the next few days.  These swells
could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Landsea

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