ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM BLANCA DISCUSSION NUMBER 32 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022015 900 AM MDT MON JUN 08 2015 Satellite images and surface observations indicate that Blanca made landfall near Puerto Cortes on Isla Santa Margarita around 1200 UTC with an estimated landfall intensity of 40 kt. Since that time, some weakening has likely occurred and the current intensity is reduced to 35 kt. Blanca should continue to weaken over the next day or so as it interacts with the terrain of the Baja California peninsula and continues to be influenced by strong shear. The system should become a tropical depression by this evening, and degenerate into a remnant low by Tuesday. The official intensity forecast is close to the intensity model consensus. The motion estimate remains at 345/13 kt. This general motion, between a low- to mid-level high to the east of Blanca and a mid-level low to the west, is likely to continue until the cyclone dissipates. The official track forecast is similar to the previous one, and remains close to the dynamical model consensus. Moisture associated with Blanca and its remnants is expected to begin affecting portions of the southwestern United States today. For more information, please see products from your local National Weather Service office. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 08/1500Z 25.1N 112.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 12H 09/0000Z 26.7N 112.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 24H 09/1200Z 28.5N 113.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 36H 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch NNNN
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