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TROPICAL STORM KATE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   3A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122015
100 PM EST MON NOV 09 2015

...KATE MAINTAINING ITS STRENGTH WHILE MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM EST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.9N 75.7W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM ESE OF ELEUTHERA
ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM SE OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Central Bahamas
* Northwestern Bahamas

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 100 PM EST (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Kate was
located near latitude 24.9 North, longitude 75.7 West. Kate is
moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h).  A turn toward
the north is expected tonight, followed by a turn toward the
north-northeast on Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center of
Kate is forecast to move away from the central Bahamas this
afternoon, and pass near or over portions of the northwestern
Bahamas by late afternoon and tonight.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
north of the center. A ship located just east of Kate's center
recently reported sustained winds of at least 45 mph (75 km/h).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected over portions of
the northwestern Bahamas later this afternoon and tonight.
Tropical storm conditions will be diminishing over the central
Bahamas later this afternoon.

RAINFALL:  Kate is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
1 to 3 inches over the central and northwestern Bahamas through
tonight.

SURF:  Swells generated by Kate are affecting the eastward-facing
beaches in the central and northwestern Bahamas.  These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 400 PM EST.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Stewart

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