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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122015
0900 UTC MON NOV 09 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE ACKLINS...SAMANA CAYS...CROOKED ISLAND...AND LONG CAY IN THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  74.6W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.6N  74.6W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N  73.7W

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 24.7N  75.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.0N  77.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 30.0N  75.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 33.4N  71.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  60SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z...ABSORBED BY AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.6N  74.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG/BRENNAN


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