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Hurricane CRISTINA (Text)


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HURRICANE CRISTINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032014
0300 UTC SAT JUN 14 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 110.7W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE  90SW 140NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 110.7W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 110.5W

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 19.3N 111.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.8N 112.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 20.1N 113.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 20.4N 113.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 21.0N 115.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 21.2N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 21.2N 118.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 110.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN


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Page last modified: Monday, 15-Sep-2014 12:09:21 UTC