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Tropical Depression TWO-E (Text)


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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022014
0300 UTC TUE JUN 03 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM SALINA CRUZ EASTWARD TO THE
MEXICO/GUATEMALA BORDER.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SALINA CRUZ TO MEXICO/GUATEMALA BORDER

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  94.2W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  94.2W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  94.2W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 14.3N  94.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 14.9N  94.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 15.4N  94.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.8N  94.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.1N  94.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 16.2N  94.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 16.5N  94.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N  94.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

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Page last modified: Thursday, 23-Oct-2014 12:09:27 UTC