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Tropical Depression BORIS (Text)


ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL DEPRESSION BORIS DISCUSSION NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022014
800 AM PDT WED JUN 04 2014

Visible satellite images and surface observations suggest that Boris
has not moved much this morning with a large increase of convection
near and south of the apparent center.  Since surface observations
are inconclusive on whether a well-defined center still exists, it
is best to keep advisories going for one more cycle.  It is likely
that Boris will dissipate later today while it moves slowly
northward and becomes a part of a large trough of low pressure
extending from across the Isthmus of Tehuantepec northward into the
Bay of Campeche.

Boris or its remnants, in combination with a trough of low pressure
over the Bay of Campeche, will continue to produce very heavy
rainfall.  These rains will cause life-threatening flash floods and
mud slides over the mountainous regions of the Mexican states of
Oaxaca, Chiapas, Veracruz and Tabasco over the next couple of days.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  04/1500Z 16.3N  94.0W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  05/0000Z 16.8N  94.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  05/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Blake

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Page last modified: Friday, 24-Oct-2014 12:09:29 UTC