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Hurricane GONZALO (Text)

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HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
1500 UTC THU OCT 16 2014
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION TODAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N  68.6W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   5 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT.......130NE 130SE  90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.1N  68.6W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.6N  68.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 27.5N  68.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 29.9N  66.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 32.6N  64.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 130SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 36.5N  62.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  80SW  70NW.
34 KT...190NE 200SE 140SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 46.5N  50.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 100SE  80SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 240SE 200SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 52.0N  29.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.1N  68.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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