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Tropical Storm CRISTOBAL (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
0900 UTC MON AUG 25 2014
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG
ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N  72.8W AT 25/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   5 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.5N  72.8W AT 25/0900Z
AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N  72.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 25.2N  72.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 120SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 26.8N  71.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 29.3N  70.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 31.5N  70.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 35.2N  66.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...110NE 140SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 40.5N  53.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 48.5N  41.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.5N  72.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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