| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Hurricane ARTHUR (Text)

ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ARTHUR INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  17A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012014
200 AM EDT SAT JUL 05 2014

...ARTHUR RACING TOWARD NOVA SCOTIA...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...42.3N 67.6W
ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM SW OF YARMOUTH NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 31 MPH...50 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NANTUCKET
* CAPE COD FROM PROVINCETOWN TO WOODS HOLE
* NOVA SCOTIA INCLUDING CAPE BRETON ISLAND
* PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U.S./CANADA BORDER TO GRAND-ANSE

IN ADDITION...HIGH WIND WARNINGS...FOR WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH...
ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN MAINE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ARTHUR WAS
LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE NEAR LATITUDE 42.3
NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.6 WEST. ARTHUR IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST
NEAR 31 MPH...50 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH
SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARTHUR WILL BE NEAR OR OVER WESTERN
NOVA SCOTIA IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND OVER THE GULF OF ST.
LAWRENCE TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ARTHUR
IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER THIS
MORNING.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
160 MILES...260 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE WAS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE SPREADING ACROSS PORTIONS THE
WARNING AREA IN NEW ENGLAND. THESE WINDS SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH THE WARNING AREA IN CANADA DURING THE NEXT
FEW HOURS AND SPREAD NORTHWARD LATER TODAY. IN ADDITION...WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN MAINE
TODAY...BEHIND A COLD FRONT OVERTAKING THE CIRCULATION OF ARTHUR.

STORM SURGE...COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG CAPE COD
TODAY. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
OVER EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...COASTAL MAINE...NOVA SCOTIA...
NEWFOUNDLAND...AND NEW BRUNSWICK...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
6 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER DOWNEAST MAINE AND INTO NEW BRUNSWICK CANADA.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ARTHUR ARE STILL AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA...THE MID-ATLANTIC...AND NORTHEAST
UNITED STATES. SWELLS WILL BEGIN AFFECTING PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
CANADA SOON. THESE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

NNNN