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Tropical Storm SONIA (Text)


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TROPICAL STORM SONIA ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182013
700 AM PST SUN NOV 03 2013
 
...SONIA A LITTLE STRONGER...
...EXPECTED TO TURN NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD VERY SOON...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 700 AM PST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.9N 109.8W
ABOUT 205 MI...335 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM SSW OF CULIACAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAZATLAN TO ALTATA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF ALTATA TO TOPOLOBAMPO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR AND ELSEWHERE IN WEST-CENTRAL
MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM PST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SONIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.8 WEST. SONIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H.  A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
TO BEGIN BY THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING. ON THE FORECAST TRACK....
THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE WILL PASS SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF 
THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND 
APPROACH THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY
EARLY MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE SONIA REACHES
THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO.  RAPID WEAKENING WILL BEGIN AFTER
SONIA MAKES LANDFALL.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA BY
LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
IN THE WATCH AREA EARLY MONDAY.
 
RAINFALL...SONIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES...ALONG
THE WEST COAST OF MEXICO ACROSS PORTIONS OF SINALOA AND WESTERN
DURANGO. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUDSLIDES.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1000 AM PST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...100 PM PST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
NNNN

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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Apr-2014 23:29:40 UTC