ZCZC MIATCDEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION DALILA DISCUSSION NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042013 800 PM PDT FRI JUL 05 2013 DALILA NOW CONSISTS OF A SMALL...BUT WELL-DEFINED...SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS AS SEEN IN THE LAST VISIBLE IMAGES FROM THE GEOSTATIONARY SATELLITE. SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN DISSIPATED SINCE ABOUT 18Z WITH ONLY SCATTERED SHOWERS REMAINING. BECAUSE OF INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR INDUCED BY TROPICAL STORM ERICK AND A COOLER MORE STABLE AIRMASS...LONG-LASTING DEEP CONVECTION IN DALILA IS NOT LIKELY TO MAKE A COMEBACK. THE CYCLONE SHOULD BECOME A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW SHORTLY AND THEN GRADUALLY WIND DOWN OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS. DALILA IS MOVING VERY SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST...AS THE EASTERLY STEERING FLOW IN THE LOWER TROPOSPHERE IS QUITE WEAK. THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION. THE FORECAST TRACK IS BASED UPON THE MULTI-MODEL ENSEMBLE AND IS JUST NORTH OF THE TRACK FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 06/0300Z 17.1N 112.6W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 06/1200Z 17.1N 112.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 07/0000Z 17.1N 113.2W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 07/1200Z 17.1N 113.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 08/0000Z 17.2N 114.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 09/0000Z 17.5N 115.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 10/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 07-Apr-2014 23:29:19 UTC