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Tropical Storm INGRID (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM INGRID FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102013
1500 UTC SAT SEP 14 2013
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF CABO ROJO TO LA PESCA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* COATZACOALCOS TO CABO ROJO
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COAST OF EASTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.  A HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE NECESSARY
FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF EASTERN MEXICO LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N  94.5W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  60SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N  94.5W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  94.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 21.4N  94.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 22.0N  94.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 22.5N  96.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 22.5N  97.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 22.0N  99.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 21.5N  99.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N  94.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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