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Hurricane JOVA (Text)

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BULLETIN
HURRICANE JOVA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  26A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102011
500 AM PDT WED OCT 12 2011
 
...JOVA WEAKENING AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHWESTERN
MEXICO...HEAVY RAINFALL REMAINS A MAJOR THREAT...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...20.3N 105.0W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SSE OF PUERTO VALLARTA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA SAN TELMO NORTHWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF CABO CORRIENTES TO EL ROBLITO MEXICO
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOVA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.0 WEST. JOVA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
OF JOVA WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND OVER WESTERN MEXICO TODAY AND
TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. JOVA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-
SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS JOVA
CONTINUES MOVING INLAND...AND JOVA SHOULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL
STORM WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE OVER A SMALL AREA NEAR
THE CENTER OF JOVA FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS OF THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA TODAY.
 
STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE
CENTER MADE LANDFALL. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
 
RAINFALL...JOVA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER THE STATES OF MICHOACAN...COLIMA...JALISCO...
AND NAYARIT...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES OVER STEEP TERRAIN.
 
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY JOVA ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST
OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-
THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
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