ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102011 0900 UTC THU OCT 06 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 105.8W AT 06/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 105.8W AT 06/0900Z AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 105.5W FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 10.7N 106.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 25SE 20SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 11.5N 108.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 12.4N 109.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 35SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 13.6N 109.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 15.1N 109.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 35NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 17.0N 107.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 18.3N 105.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.3N 105.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE NNNN
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