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Hurricane DANIELLE (Text)

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HURRICANE DANIELLE SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062010
200 AM AST FRI AUG 27 2010
 
RECENT INFRARED IMAGERY HAS SHOWN THAT THE EYE OF DANIELLE HAS
CONTRACTED AND BECOME MORE DISTINCT...AND IS NOW EMBEDDED IN A RING
OF TOPS COLDER THAN -60C.  A SPECIAL DVORAK CLASSIFICATION FROM TAFB
AT 0415 UTC YIELDED A DATA-T NUMBER OF 6.0/115 KT.  BASED ON A
BLEND OF THIS ESTIMATE AND AND RECENT ADT ESTIMATES OF 5.5/102
KT...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 105 KT.  THE INTENSITY
FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED UPWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS...SHOWING A PEAK
OF 115 KT AT 24 AND 36 HOURS.  BEYOND 48 HOURS...THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS IDENTICAL TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.

THE TRACK AND WIND RADII FORECASTS ARE UNCHANGED. 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      27/0600Z 26.2N  58.1W   105 KT
 12HR VT     27/1200Z 26.7N  59.0W   110 KT
 24HR VT     28/0000Z 28.1N  60.4W   115 KT
 36HR VT     28/1200Z 29.6N  60.9W   115 KT
 48HR VT     29/0000Z 31.4N  60.3W   110 KT
 72HR VT     30/0000Z 35.5N  56.5W    90 KT
 96HR VT     31/0000Z 38.5N  50.5W    75 KT
120HR VT     01/0000Z 41.0N  42.0W    60 KT...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 
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FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
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