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Tropical Storm ODILE (Text)

ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM ODILE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3            
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP162008               
0900 UTC THU OCT 09 2008                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ODILE WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       X       2       3       7      14      24      30
TROP DEPRESSION 28      25      24      20      23      27      33
TROPICAL STORM  71      70      64      59      49      43      35
HURRICANE        1       3       8      14      14       6       2
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        1       3       7      11      11       6       2
HUR CAT 2        X       X       1       2       2       X       X
HUR CAT 3        X       X       X       1       X       X       X
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   40KT    45KT    50KT    55KT    60KT    55KT    50KT
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
P VALLARTA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
BARRA NAVIDAD  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   2( 9)
 
MANZANILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   2( 9)
 
L CARDENAS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   5(17)   1(18)
L CARDENAS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
ZIHUATANEJO    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)   5(20)   1(21)
ZIHUATANEJO    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)
 
ACAPULCO       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  15(23)   2(25)   X(25)
ACAPULCO       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
P MALDONADO    34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)  12(15)  10(25)   1(26)   X(26)
P MALDONADO    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
P ANGEL        34  X   3( 3)   8(11)   5(16)   2(18)   1(19)   X(19)
P ANGEL        50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HUATULCO       34  X   3( 3)   6( 9)   4(13)   3(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
SALINA CRUZ    34  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ISLAS MARIAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ROBERTS                                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
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