ZCZC MIATCDEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOUGLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042008 200 PM PDT THU JUL 03 2008 QUIKSCAT DATA AND A SHIP OBSERVATION SUGGEST THAT DOUGLAS WAS PROBABLY A LITTLE STRONGER THAN ESTIMATED EARLIER TODAY. INITIAL INTENSITY COULD HAVE BEEN 35 KNOTS INSTEAD OF THE 30 KT ESTIMATED IN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. SINCE THEN...THE CLOUD PATTERN HAS CONTINUED TO DETERIORATE AND IT IS NOW ASSUMED THAT THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS 30 KNOTS. HOWEVER...SOME PATCHES OF STRONGER GUSTS ARE PROBABLY OCCURRING NORTH OF THE CENTER. NEVERTHELESS... DOUGLAS IS OVER COOL WATERS AND ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED. THE CLOUD SWIRL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 7 KNOTS. AS THE CYCLONE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...IT SHOULD TURN MORE TO THE WEST STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 03/2100Z 20.7N 110.6W 30 KT 12HR VT 04/0600Z 21.0N 111.5W 25 KT 24HR VT 04/1800Z 21.0N 113.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW 36HR VT 05/0600Z 21.0N 114.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 48HR VT 05/1800Z 21.0N 116.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW 72HR VT 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER AVILA NNNN
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Page last modified: Tuesday, 21-Apr-2009 12:09:32 UTC